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Three weeks after the coup d’etat in Niger, the probabilities of a return to democracy are dwindling. Ousted president Mohamed Bazoum stays imprisoned, and the junta has rounded up a whole bunch of individuals it deems potential political opponents. Coup leaders stated late Sunday that the army would prosecute Bazoum for treason. Professional-coup Nigeriens, in the meantime, have held mass demonstrations, with some waving Russian flags and chanting anti-French slogans.

The army takeover on July 26 set off alarm bells all through the area and amongst Niger’s Western allies, which have supported the battle towards Islamist militants within the Sahel. (Some 1,100 U.S. troops are based mostly in Niger.) A regional group of governments often called ECOWAS threatened army intervention if the coup plotters didn’t restore Bazoum to his publish inside per week — elevating the specter of warfare in West Africa.

That deadline has handed, with no signal of imminent army motion. ECOWAS mobilized a standby army power on Thursday, although leaders described army motion as a “final resort.”

Members of ECOWAS have additionally closed their borders with Niger and imposed wide-reaching sanctions, together with by slicing off electrical energy provide to the nation.

However Niger’s neighbor to the north is urging warning, apprehensive concerning the potential for worldwide intervention and sanctions to additional destabilize the area. Algeria shares a virtually 600-mile border with Niger, in a desert area that may be a stronghold of Islamist militants and a crossing level for sub-Saharan African migrants. (Algeria recurrently carries out mass expulsions of migrants residing on Algerian territory to Niger, abandoning hundreds within the desert in circumstances humanitarian teams have decried.)

Algerian President Abdelmadjid Tebboune has condemned the coup and provided his nation’s companies as a mediator in Niger.

International Minister Ahmed Attaf visited Washington final week to meet with Secretary of State Antony Blinken and different administration officers. Cairo bureau chief Claire Parker spoke with Attaf on the Algerian ambassador’s dwelling in Washington on Aug. 9.

This interview has been edited for size and readability.

Q: How would you assess Algeria’s relationship proper now with the US?

A: If you wish to assess the standard of any given relationship between two international locations, take a look at the standard of the political dialogue. Solely this yr, [numerous top State Department officials] have visited Algeria. Meaning Algeria and the US have plenty of information to debate. And this may be simply defined — you could have a type of ring of fireside extending from the Crimson Sea to the Atlantic, from Sudan, Chad, Niger, Burkina Faso, Mali to Western Sahara.

Army mutiny in Niger comes after string of coups throughout area

Q: I’m curious to listen to concerning the discussions you’ve been having with U.S. officers about Niger and what your considerations are concerning the implications for Algeria due to the lengthy border between the 2 international locations.

A: Discussing the disaster in Niger [with U.S. officials], I feel that we now have agreed on three essential ideas. The primary: respect for the constitutional and democratic order. That President Bazoum needs to be restored because the official president of Niger. And third: Precedence ought to proceed to be hooked up to the answer of the battle. And I consider that [on] these ideas, there’s a whole settlement between us. Now we must always attempt to work collectively to translate these ideas into the political actuality in Niger. And that is the topic of our consultations.

Q: Do you could have any hope that there can be a reversal of the coup and that President Bazoum will return to his publish?

A: No one can say for certain what is going to occur tomorrow. The state of affairs may be very, very unstable and we must always take care of it on not a day-by-day foundation, however hour-by-hour foundation. What I can say is that consultations are happening between many and anxious events — ECOWAS, the events in Niger, the European Union — to see what would be the most suitable choice we now have at hand to succeed in this goal of a peaceable resolution to this disaster in the intervening time.

Niger is slipping away from the West

Q: What’s Algeria’s place on a army intervention by West African states?

A: The very first thing that I might say is that I personally, and lots of in Algeria, don’t see any instance of army intervention in circumstances like this that has succeeded. And we now have in our neighborhood the instance of Libya that has confirmed catastrophic for the entire area, and we’re paying the worth. Those that have carried out the international intervention have left the nation. They usually left us with this tragedy, with this disaster on our palms. The second level is that, even when ECOWAS is considering this, envisaging the army possibility as an possibility of final resort, they’re nonetheless giving the precedence to a political and diplomatic resolution and they’re engaged on this foundation. The third ingredient is no person’s certain, even inside ECOWAS, that the army intervention has an affordable likelihood of success. You can begin a army intervention, however you by no means know the way it will finish. So they’re very cautious. They’re exhibiting the utmost restraint in coping with this feature, and they’re proper in doing so.

Q: Is Algeria involved about this instability in Niger spilling over?

A: We have now very robust reservations [about restricting the border]. On this area, Mali and Niger, these populations on the Nigerien facet of the border, they arrive to our hospitals for therapy. They arrive to our area for commerce, tourism, very important commodities. How are you going to apply sanctions to that? You shut your border and inform individuals, ‘It’s essential to die on the opposite facet; you wouldn’t have entry to my hospitals.’ Who can try this? So far as sanctions are involved, we now have very robust reservations as a result of this can be a punitive motion towards the inhabitants.

Q: A part of the priority within the area, for the US and for quite a lot of international locations, is the specter of extremist militant teams working within the Sahel. What’s Algeria’s evaluation of how the state of affairs in Niger might affect that difficulty?

A: Even earlier than the coup, the state of affairs was very critical in Niger. And there may be this well-known space known as the world of the three borders, famously identified for the heavy focus of terrorist teams. And in reality, in Algeria, so far as the Sahel is anxious, we now have ceased to speak about armed teams — we’re speaking about terrorist armies. They’ve gained a brand new [level] of scale, of actions, when it comes to personnel, when it comes to tools. And we’re actually dealing within the area with the armies of terrorists immediately threatening Burkina Faso, Mali, some areas in Chad, and Niger. And the People, they’ve precisely the identical evaluation: that the state of affairs may be very critical and it instructions heavy coordination or shut cooperation between the international locations within the space to satisfy this problem.

Q: One other huge difficulty in North Africa is migration. What do you see because the potential resolution to grapple with irregular migration whereas additionally treating migrants humanely?

A: In April, I used to be in Niger and Mali, and it was on our agenda. The problem of migration is just not solely a political difficulty that you would be able to take care of throughout the framework of a global settlement to say, you can be doing this and this. On this area — I’m speaking particularly about Niger, Mali, Chad and you may go down in West Africa — it is usually an enormous financial difficulty. These persons are leaving their international locations, they’re leaving their villages as a result of they’re in pursuit of a greater life — and for a few of them, for feeding their households. So you must take care of it politically, diplomatically. But when the financial element of the answer is just not there, then you’ll not resolve the issue.

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